The Vehicle Electrification Market is estimated to be valued at USD 110.78 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 227.83 Billion by 2031, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.8% from 2024 to 2031.
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Government mandates for electric vehicles along with consumer shift in preferences towards sustainable mobility are expected to drive the industry's growth over the next decade.
Countries like China, the U.S., and Germany have announced plans to incentivize sales and production of EVs. Many automakers are investing heavily in developing EV technology to capture this growing market. Furthermore, decline in battery prices is making electric vehicles more affordable and accessible to masses. Several nations are also simultaneously working to setup adequate public charging infrastructure to alleviate range anxiety among customers and boost electric vehicle adoption rates. With existing tailwinds, the vehicle electrification market is well positioned for robust expansion in the coming years.
Climate Change Concerns
Government policies and regulations regarding vehicular emissions have become stricter over the years with growing climate change concerns. Transportation accounts for a major portion of global greenhouse gas emissions and there is a pressing need to reduce the carbon footprint of passenger and commercial vehicles. Electrified powertrains such as hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery electric vehicles generate fewer emissions over their lifecycle compared to conventional internal combustion engine vehicles. Major economies around the world have outlined ambitious targets to curb emissions and have introduced incentives and subsidies to promote the adoption of electric vehicles. Customers are also gradually becoming more environmentally conscious and are willing to pay more for electric vehicles considering the long-term benefits. The automotive industry is actively working to develop affordable electric vehicles with an improved driving range. Meanwhile governments are investing heavily in public charging infrastructure to allay range anxiety issues. All these factors are expected to significantly drive-up demand for electric vehicles in the coming years as countries aim to meet their emissions goals.
For instance, in July 2021, Suzuki Motor Corporation a Japanese multinational mobility manufacturer and Daihatsu Motor Co., Ltd. a Japanese internal combustion engine manufacturer. collaborated on commercial vehicles to advance carbon neutrality initiatives in the mini-vehicle sector. Their joint effort focuses on promoting the adoption of CASE technologies and services, expediting the electrification of mini-vehicles and fostering positive changes in the automotive industry.
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Improving Technology and Falling Battery PricesThe technological progress in the field of automotive electrification has been tremendous over the past decade. continuously improving the performance of lithium-ion batteries while bringing down costs. Early electric vehicles had a very limited driving range but battery technology has advanced rapidly with the development of new chemistries, materials and manufacturing processes. The energy density of lithium-ion batteries has increased multi-fold allowing electric vehicles to travel farther on a single charge. Meanwhile, battery costs have dropped substantially owing to economies of scale in battery production and new manufacturing methods. Major automakers now offer electric vehicles with driving ranges comparable to gasoline vehicles at a pricing that is increasingly affordable for mainstream customers after incentives. It is forecasted that battery costs will decline further in future as companies invest heavily in battery R&D and manufacturing capacity increases globally. This will pave the way for mass adoption of affordable long range electric vehicles without compromise. As technology matures and battery prices stabilize at low levels, total ownership costs of electric vehicles are expected to reach parity with internal combustion vehicles over the next few years in most vehicle segments. Both customers and manufacturers will see increasing appeal of electrification.
For instance, in September 2021, the Switzerland-based automation company ABB unveiled Terra 360 electric car charger, offering a unique charging experience for EV owners. This customizable all-in-one charger supports simultaneous charging for up to four vehicles, delivering an impressive 100 kilometers of range in less than three minutes.
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Market Challenge: Battery Technology and Cost ChallengesThe vehicle electrification market faces several challenges in its growth. Established automakers' dependence on internal combustion engines results in reluctance to transition fully to EVs. Developing affordable EV battery technologies with sufficient driving range per charge remains difficult due to high material costs. Building out charging infrastructure is a massive undertaking requiring coordination among automakers, energy companies, and governments. Customers are hesitant about EVs due to 'range anxiety' and long charging times. Moreover, shifting heavy industries like trucks and buses to electric power has technological and economic obstacles.
Market Opportunity: Expanding Consumer Market
Government policies pushing for electrification through regulations and incentives will drive automaker investments. As battery and motor technologies improve, EVs are projected to reach price parity with gas vehicles this decade. This will expand the potential customer base. The growing concern over air pollution and climate change boost social acceptance of EVs.
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Insights, By Product Type - Start/Stop System component Drives Growth in Vehicle Electrification Product SegmentsThe Start/Stop System segment is expected to hold the highest share of 17.1% in 2024, due to powerful underlying factors driving consumer demand. As fuel economy and emission standards continue to tighten globally, automakers are under increasing pressure to reduce the fuel consumption and emissions of new vehicles. The Start/Stop System provides an affordable and effective solution to meet these goals. Unlike some other electrification technologies, Start/Stop Systems can be easily integrated into existing internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle architectures with minimal upgrades required. This has made them appealing for automakers looking to quickly electrify their model lines without a complete redesign.
On the consumer side, drivers have become more environmentally conscious and concerned about high fuel costs. The promise of improved fuel efficiency from Start/Stop technology without compromising driving dynamics or convenience has resonated well. Many buyers see it as a relatively low-cost way to reduce their carbon footprint and monthly fuel bills. Additionally, as automakers have gained experience with the technology, they have enhanced the refinement of restart performance. Early generation systems suffered from occasional rough or delayed restarts, but modern implementations have addressed these issues. Consumers now trust that Start/Stop will be transparent during everyday use.
Insights, By Degree of Hybridization- Battery Electric Vehicle component Drives the Growth of Vehicle Electrification Degree of Hybridization Segment
Within the Degree of Hybridization segmental analysis, the battery electric vehicle category has emerged as the frontrunner for growth. BEVs offer a truly zero-emissions option that is appealing to both environmentalists and those concerned with urban air quality issues from vehicle pollutants. They are also incentivized through supportive government policies in major markets like Europe and China looking to curb their CO2 emissions. For example, Norway has led the world with generous purchase subsidies and tax exemptions that have made BEVs very attractive to buyers.
Technological progress is expanding vehicle ranges and addressing range anxiety concerns that had previously held BEV adoption back. New high-capacity lithium-ion battery packs allow for EPA-rated distances over 250 miles on a single charge for some models. Widespread installation of public fast-charging stations is shortening recharge times from hours to minutes. Meanwhile, automakers are achieving battery cost reductions through extensive R&D bringing the total cost of ownership of a BEV closer to a comparable gas-powered car when fuel savings and incentives are considered. All of these factors are making BEVs a more practical choice for a growing number of drivers and a stimulating growth engine for this segment.
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Asia Pacific has been the dominant player in the vehicle electrification market for years and is expected to hold the largest share of 52.20% in 2024, due to China which has emerged as the fastest growing regional market in recent times. Aggressive targets set by the Chinese government to increase electric vehicle production and use have accelerated investments and innovations in the industry. Several new EV startups are coming up in China which are making affordable electric cars that appeal to local customers. At the same time, established automakers like BYD and SAIC are rapidly expanding their electric model lineups. China's large automobile market size and growing preference for new technologies among consumers have accelerated this shift towards electrification. In addition, lower costs of manufacturing EVs in China compared to other regions have made them more competitive in global markets as well. As a result, China has overtaken other regions to become the largest EV market and is surpassing production targets well ahead of schedule.
However, North America is expected to have the highest CAGR of 12.27% in 2024. The large presence of major automotive OEMs like Tesla, GM, and Ford have driven significant investments in research and development of electric technologies. With their headquarters and major manufacturing facilities located in the U.S. and Canada, these companies have been at the forefront of developing electric vehicles. In addition, supportive government policies like tax incentives and emissions regulations have encouraged higher adoption of electric vehicles in the region. As a result, North America accounts for the largest share of electric vehicle sales globally.
While the U.S. and Europe have strong automotive industries and customer demand remains robust, suppliers in these regions are facing challenges from low-cost yet innovative Chinese manufacturers. However, established North American and European suppliers continue leveraging their engineering expertise and quality standards to target high-value segments. Nonetheless, China's aggressive focus on developing a local EV supply chain presents opportunities for partnerships that can help global suppliers access that fast-growing market as well.
Vehicle Electrification Market Report Coverage
Report Coverage | Details | ||
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Base Year: | 2023 | Market Size in 2024: | US$ 110.78 Bn |
Historical Data for: | 2019 To 2023 | Forecast Period: | 2024 To 2031 |
Forecast Period 2024 to 2031 CAGR: | 10.8% | 2031 Value Projection: | US$ 227.83 Bn |
Geographies covered: |
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Companies covered: |
AISIN CORPORATION, Aptiv, BorgWarner Inc., Continental AG, DENSO CORPORATION, Hitachi Astemo, Ltd., Johnson Controls, Johnson Electric Holdings Limited, JTEKT Corporation, Magna International Inc., Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Robert Bosch GmbH, Valeo SA, Wabco Holdings Inc., and ZF Friedrichshafen AG |
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Restraints & Challenges: |
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*Definition:The vehicle electrification market involves technologies that use electric power to partially or fully power vehicles. This includes hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) that have both an electric motor and an internal combustion engine (ICE), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) that can be charged externally and have a larger electric-only range, battery electric vehicles (BEVs) that run solely on battery power, and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) that use hydrogen fuel cells to power electric motors.
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About Author
Ameya Thakkar is a seasoned management consultant with 9+ years of experience optimizing operations and driving growth for companies in the automotive and transportation sector. As a senior consultant at CMI, Ameya has led strategic initiatives that have delivered over $50M in cost savings and revenue gains for clients. Ameya specializes in supply chain optimization, process re-engineering, and identification of deep revenue pockets. He has deep expertise in the automotive industry, having worked with major OEMs and suppliers on complex challenges such as supplier analysis, demand analysis, competitive analysis, and Industry 4.0 implementation.
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