ALKYL KETENE DIMER MARKET ANALYSIS
The alkyl ketene dimer market is estimated to be valued at USD 357.6 Mn in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 499.8 Mn by 2031, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.9% from 2024 to 2031.
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The market is primarily driven by the increasing demand from the paper industry as alkyl ketene dimer (AKD) is used as a sizing agent in the production of coated paper and paperboards. Rapid industrialization and increasing manufacturing activities have resulted in a rise in demand for packaged goods which require coated and laminated paper for packaging applications. This is positively impacting the growth of the alkyl ketene dimer market. The increasing penetration of e-commerce is another factor augmenting the market growth.
Increased Demand for AKD in Paper Production
One of the major drivers for the alkyl ketene dimer market growth has been the increased demand for AKD in paper production applications. AKD is considered an important chemical additive that is commonly used in the paper and paperboard industry for improving the strength, stability, and quality of the final product. As AKD can effectively enhance the sizing effect of paper, it helps manufacturers produce paper with good printing surface and reduced strike-through. With rising paper consumption globally, driven by increasing packaging as well as printing and writing needs, the demand for high quality paper grades sized with AKD is observing a noticeable surge. The paper industry has been reporting strong growth numbers in regions such as Asia Pacific with China and India witnessing a boom in paper packaging. Expanding e-commerce is propelling the need for corrugated boxes, cartons, paper bags, and shipping materials. Rapid urbanization along with improving economic conditions in developing nations has augmented the demand for branded packaging from consumer goods and food and beverage industries. AKD as a highly effective paper strengthening and quality enhancer agent, plays a pivotal role in enabling paper mills to carter to the packaging sector requirements.
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Increasing Usage of AKD in Textile Sizing
Another key factor attributed to driving the alkyl ketene dimer market is the increasing application of AKD in textile sizing. AKD acts as a premium textile-sizing agent that helps improve various properties of the yarn including stiffness, abrasion resistance, and minimum damage during weaving or knitting. It is recognized to have more efficiency in delivering sizing properties compared to conventional products such as rosin, gelatin, and starch. With today’s textile manufactures striving for higher productivity and consistent quality, the use of AKD for warp sizing prior to weaving has noticed momentum. Developed as well developing economies witnessing expansion of their textile industries augments the demand from this application segment. Countries such as India and Bangladesh exporting large volumes of textile products have emerged as major consumers of AKD. In addition, growing apparel demands from regions including North America and European countries boosts textile production and thereby AKD consumption.
Key Takeaways of Analyst:
The alkyl ketene dimer market is expected to experience steady growth in the coming years. Some of the key drivers propelling the market include rising demand from the paper industry for AKD sizing agents. AKD helps improve the surface strength and quality of paper. However, stringent regulations regarding the use of chemicals may act as a restraint for the market. International organizations have banned some types of AKDs due to environmental concerns.
The adoption of bio-based and environment-friendly AKD alternatives through R&D initiatives could open new avenues of growth. Demand from developing economies opening new paper mills and expanding existing capacity offer opportunities as well.
Lack of product differentiation and presence of alternatives may challenge AKD sales to an extent. Maintaining cost competitiveness against substitutes will be a key success factor.
Market Challenges: Volatility in raw material prices
The uncertainty associated with fluctuating raw material prices poses a significant challenge for the global alkyl ketene dimer market's growth momentum. Alkyl ketene dimer, which is primarily used in the paper industry, has witnessed high volatility in the prices of its key raw materials over the past few years. The costs of raw materials such as maleic anhydride and long-chain saturated fatty acids that are used for manufacturing alkyl ketene dimer have seesawed drastically due to unpredictable supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical tensions.
Market Opportunities: New application discoveries
Alkyl Ketene Dimer discoveries hold potential for opportunities in the global market. AKD is commonly used as a sizing agent in the paper industry for its ability to bond with cellulose fibers and improve paper strength and quality. Technological advances have enabled researchers to utilize AKD properties in other applications as well. This could broaden its use beyond traditional pulp and paper markets into new areas.
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Insights by Type: Superior Performance and Versatility Drives the Demand for Wax Type
In terms of type, wax is expected to contribute 62.5% share of the alkyl ketene dimer market in 2024, owing to its superior performance and versatility across applications. As an alkyl ketene dimer wax, it effectively modifies the surface properties of various substrate materials like paper and cardboard. Its small particle size allows for deep penetration and interaction within non-woven fibers, resulting in enhanced strength, absorbency and barrier properties. This makes wax type AKDs ideal for improving the sizing, brightness and printing characteristics of writing and printing papers. AKD wax also enhances the printability of recycled fibers by reducing their porosity and controlling absorbency. This addresses a key challenge faced by papermakers as recycled content increases. Moreover, the stable synthetic nature of AKD wax allows it to withstand aggressive pulping and bleaching processes without degrading. This provides operational robustness across differing papermaking systems. Its long alkyl chains also provide good moisture resistance to finished papers. This shelf-life extension is valuable for hygienic and food contact papers. Beyond paper applications, AKD wax expands into new areas like cardboard packaging. Here, it improves the surface strength, stiffness, and resistance to puncture of corrugated board. This protects the integrity of shipped goods during transportation and storage. The self-crosslinking property of AKD wax reinforces inter-fiber bonding upon drying, yielding strong, and dimensionally-stable boards. This has driven the rising usage of advanced recycled board with high post-consumer furnish, promoting circularity in the packaging sector. Its versatile performance at low treatment levels continues to support demand growth above other types like emulsions in the market.
Insights by Grade: Technical Grade Dominates the Strong Industry Demand
Within Alkyl Ketene Dimer grades, technical grade is expected to contribute 39.8% share to the market in 2024, due to its ability to meet demanding industry specifications. Paper and paperboard applications require strict control over AKD characteristics like active content, molecular weight distribution and impurities. Technical grade AKDs deliver the utmost consistency, quality and reactivity needed for critical paper attributes. Their defined and reproducible properties allow accurate dosage to paper formulations for optimal sizing effects. This ensures desired levels of water resistance, ink absorption and print quality in finished papers. Technical grades are refined through multi-stage purification processes yielding high compound purity above 99%. This purity translates to minimal undesirable byproducts that could otherwise cause discoloration or odor issues in paper over time. Precision in technical grade AKDs also comes from tight control over average molecular weight, narrow polydispersity, and minimal fraction of undesirable longer polymer chains. This precisely tailored molecular design promotes efficient and deep penetration into paper fibers for superior sizing without excessive viscosity build-up hindering paper machines. It therefore enables treatments at lowest effective levels, lowering costs and minimizing waste. Such well-characterized performance is essential in the expanding market for high-quality graphical and specialty papers reliant on consistent AKD treatments.
Insights by Application: Printing & Writing Papers Dominate Critical Performance Needs
Within application, printing & writing paper is expected to contribute 37.6% of the market share in 2024 owing to critical performance needs that AKD effectively addresses. Here, AKDs are vital for quality control and processability of paper during high-speed printing and writing applications. During printing, AKD treatments on paper enhance ink absorption and dryness rates through optimizing surface properties. This minimizes ink “picking” and feathering effects to yield sharper halftones and text at high press speeds. It further controls ink setting into the substrate to prevent offsetting or "set-off" against other sheets. Demand is rapidly growing for digitally printed commercial or transactional papers with ever higher resolutions, speeds and quality requirements that rely on the dependable performance of AKD treatments. For writing papers, AKDs provide crucial sizing to surfaces for smooth writing or marking and minimized paper curling. They regulate absorbency rates and liquid penetration, preventing ink bleed or feathering detrimental to text clarity. This has established AKDs as essential for high-quality office, graphic art and journal papers, endowing excellent print definition and crisp writings. Sustained usage arises from such applications central to communication and business operations globally. Beyond core functions, AKDs improve the runnability and efficiency of high-speed paper converting operations. These benefits integrated paper producers and converters. The strong and growing needs of precision printing and writing applications for AKDs far outweigh its potential uses in other end segments. This drives printing & writing papers to remain the flagship application area for the alkyl ketene dimer market.
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North America has established itself as the dominant region in the global alkyl ketene dimer market. The region is expected to account for 32.7% of the market share in 2024. Countries like the U.S. and Canada have large and well-established paper manufacturing industry that uses alkyl ketene dimer extensively for the production of different types of papers and paperboards. Along with its use in the paper industry, North America is also a prominent consumer of alkyl ketene dimer for agricultural applications such as soil conditioning.
Asia Pacific has been showing potent growth prospects in the alkyl ketene dimer market over the past few years and is expected to maintain its position as the fastest growing regional market. The increasing development and production activities in industries like paper and construction are driving the consumption of alkyl ketene dimer in Asia Pacific. In particular, countries like China and India have emerged as high growth hotspots due to rapidly expanding paper production volumes from small and large paper mills across various regions. The growth in the Asian paper industry is mainly attributed to increased domestic paper consumption for packaging, printing, writing applications, and tissue papers. Additionally, rising agricultural development in the region is spurring the demand for agrochemicals and soil modifiers that incorporate alkyl ketene dimer. Overall, Asia Pacific's manufacturing and construction boom combined with rising employment of soil conditioning agents are augmenting the uptake of alkyl ketene dimer.
Alkyl Ketene Dimer Market Report Coverage
| Report Coverage | Details | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Year: | 2023 | Market Size in 2024: | US$ 357.6 Mn |
| Historical Data for: | 2019 To 2023 | Forecast Period: | 2024 To 2031 |
| Forecast Period 2024 to 2031 CAGR: | 4.9% | 2031 Value Projection: | US$ 499.8 Mn |
| Geographies covered: |
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| Segments covered: |
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| Companies covered: |
Aries Chemical, Inc., Arakawa Chemical Industries., Atlas Organics Private Limited, GO YEN Chemical Industrial Co., Ltd., Haihang Industry, Kemira Oyj, Longkou Longpai Fine Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., Oleon NV, Plasmine Technology, Inc., SEIKO PMC, Tiancheng, Brightgreen, Vertellus, Solenis, and Finor Piplaj Chemicals |
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| Restraints & Challenges: |
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*Definition: The alkyl ketene dimer market involves the production and trade of alkyl ketene dimer, which is an additive used in papermaking. It is used as a sizing agent to impart strength and surface smoothness to paper. Alkyl ketene dimer reacts with cellulose fibers to form ketals that make paper more water-resistant. The global alkyl ketene dimer market has seen steady growth due to the increasing demand for superior quality paper.
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About Author
Vidyesh Swar is a seasoned Consultant with a diverse background in market research and business consulting. With over 6 years of experience, Vidyesh has established a strong reputation for his proficiency in market estimations, supplier landscape analysis, and market share assessments for tailored research solution. Using his deep industry knowledge and analytical skills, he provides valuable insights and strategic recommendations, enabling clients to make informed decisions and navigate complex business landscapes.
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